Operation Prosper

GI Advisory — The Information You Can Defend.

Crime Is A Law Enforcement

Challenge, Not A Military One

Lunga Dweba

Pretoria, South Africa

10 April 2026

“President Cyril Ramaphosa has in line with section 201 (3) (a)(b)(c) and (d)

of the Constitution informed the National Assembly and the National Council

of Provinces of his decision to deploy two thousand two hundred (2 200)

members of the South African National Defence Force (SANDF) for service in

cooperation with the South African Police Service (SAPS).”

— The Presidency of the Republic of South Africa

The Deployment

South Africa continues to face high levels of crime and violence that negatively

impact business continuity and private life generally. The South African

government is undoubtedly hard at work to manage the situation, not without

difficulties and interventions that produce temporary disruption rather than

long-term results. The ongoing military deployment in law enforcement tasks is a

case in point, as I demonstrate below.

Why Military Deployments Fall Short

International experience has repeatedly shown that military deployments into

civilian crime environments offer, at best, temporary disruption rather than

sustainable resolution. While soldiers may suppress visible violence in the

immediate term, they are not structured, trained, or mandated to perform the

long-term investigative, intelligence-led, and community-based functions

required to combat deep-rooted criminality.

Operation Prosper: Early Evidence

In many jurisdictions where governments have resorted to military support for

domestic crime, violence often re-emerges once deployments end because the

underlying policing and intelligence deficiencies remain unresolved. Under the

ongoing Operation Prosper deployment, incidents have continued unabated —

with shootings recorded in Cape Town areas within days of soldiers arriving on 1

April 2026.

Soldiers do not bring a silver bullet but when incidents continue unabated despite

their presence, it undermines public confidence in the military's role. Not because

they cannot face hostile environments, but because their mandate in this

deployment does not permit them to operate as they would in a conventional

military combat.

The Way Forward

The lesson is that crime is fundamentally a law enforcement challenge, not a

military one. If the state is serious about addressing violent crime, then

reinforcement must prioritise the South African Police Service through better

training, improved intelligence capability, stronger investigative units, and

adequate operational resourcing. The solution cannot be the gradual

militarisation of policing functions. Sustainable crime reduction lies in building

policing capacity, not substituting it.

Lunga Dweba is the Director of Geopolitical Intelligence (Pty) Ltd — a business intelligence and

geopolitical risk advisory practice.

www.giadvisory.co.za info@giadvisory.co.za